Top Selections: UFC Fight Night 239 Tuivasa vs. Tybura

Oh, who can resist the allure of a heavyweight clash? This Saturday, the Ultimate Fighting Championship is betting big. They’re bringing us two behemoths, each tipping the scales at 250 pounds or more, ready to duke it out in the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. It’s the kind of main event that has fans on the edge of their seats.

Now, this particular showdown is a rare gem in the lineup. Why? Because it features ranked competitors, a sight not so common in this billing. But, here’s the kicker – the betting scene is a bit tricky. You’ve got slim pickings or you’re diving into risky waters, thanks to a few unknowns. But hey, that’s where the thrill is, right?

Join us for the UFC Fight Night 239 edition of Prime Picks. We’re navigating the tricky waters of two T-named titans in the main event. Eyes glued to the weigh-ins, we’re dropping some savvy prop bet suggestions across the board.

Let’s talk Tai Tuivasa vs. Marcin Tybura. Lasting over 1.5 rounds at -130? Intriguing. Remember when Tuivasa’s defensive wrestling was, well, less than stellar? Times when he couldn’t quite find his groove against the likes of Blagoy Ivanov and Sergey Spivak? Those days are somewhat behind him, thanks to a lineup of striking-first opponents.

Tuivasa’s barroom brawl tactics had to evolve. The higher the competition, the clearer that became. Getting outpunched by Sergei Pavlovich and outmaneuvered by Ciryl Gane were tough lessons. And let’s not forget Alexander Volkov’s masterclass on the feet before securing that picture-perfect Ezekiel choke. But, there’s a silver lining. Tybura, while capable, takes his sweet time to get going.

Poland’s own Tybura hasn’t quite mastered dodging those blitzing strikers in the opening minute. But give him a moment to settle, and the tide starts to turn. Despite his struggles to break into the Top 10 comfortably, his wrestling has opened new doors, balancing out what was once a glaring weakness.

Tuivasa could make this look like a walk in the park. It wouldn’t shock many if he corners Tybur and lands a knockout punch within 45 seconds. Yet, if Tybura withstands the initial onslaught, we might just see this bout stretch out, possibly into the championship rounds.

Tybura’s victories, especially against durable opponents like Spivak and Ivanov, often come by decision. It’s been a while since he’s dominated with his ground game. Instead, he’s turned the fence into his ally, pinning opponents against it, making their backs resemble lunchmeat. This wrestling tactic has served him well, wearing down power punchers like Tuivasa. The question remains: Can Tuivasa break free, or will Tybura’s strategy tick the clock and check our box?

Switching gears, let’s talk Macy Chiasson winning by decision at +105. This pick hinges on a big if – can Chiasson make bantamweight? It’s not a sure thing. If she does, and the fight goes as planned without turning into a catchweight, betting on Chiasson to replicate her 2018 success seems like a solid move. Given Pannie Kianzad’s track record of going the distance in her UFC return since 2019, coupling this with a Fight Goes the Distance bet at -310 could spice up your parlay.

Both fighters have had their ups and downs since 2021, each holding a 2-2 record. Chiasson’s weight mishap against Irene Aldana and Kianzad’s slight lag behind top competitors like Ketlen Vieira and Raquel Pennington highlight their respective challenges. Despite years in the UFC, their core skills have sharpened rather than transformed. This rematch, long in the making, promises familiarity but with the potential for a longer bout.

Now, onto Gerald Meerschaert winning inside the distance at -105. In the world of sure things, betting on Meerschaert to finish a fight ranks high. Facing off against former welterweight Bryan Barberena, Meerschaert’s size and durability could be key. Barberena’s aggressive style may play right into Meerschaert’s hands, especially given his porous takedown defense, as Makhmud Muradov showcased.

Meerschaert, unlike Dustin Poirier, thrives on seizing opportunities for guillotine chokes, a move he’s perfected seven times. His diverse attack strategy and a 100% finish rate in the Octagon make this bet a no-brainer.

Lastly, let’s touch on Josiane Nunes at -145. This fight comes with a caveat – wait until Friday afternoon to place your bets. Both fighters are cutting down to 135 pounds, and it’s not guaranteed they’ll make weight. Nunes, standing at 5-foot-2, packs a punch, while Chelsea Chandler has had her struggles with weight cuts. If both make weight, Nunes is your bet. Her power and stamina make her a formidable opponent for Chandler, who prefers grappling but may find it challenging to take Nunes down.

Chandler’s reaction to Norma Dumont’s strikes was telling. It raised questions about her durability and heart. Now at 30, with seven fights under her belt, Chandler’s likely reached her peak, barring minor tweaks. Nunes, with her aggressive style and ability to maintain a high pace, seems like a solid bet.

So, there you have it. A heavyweight showdown, a bantamweight rematch years in the making, and a couple of fighters looking to prove their worth. The UFC Fight Night 239 is shaping up to be an event you won’t want to miss. Place your bets wisely, and let’s enjoy the spectacle.

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